Bitcoin Santa Claus rally, unlikely according to on-chain and derivatives data
Data suggests that BTC’s rally to $18,300 is the only Santa Claus rally Bitcoin will see before the year ends. As the coldest days of the crypto winter set in, investors’ speculative interest in the crypto market has fallen to pre-2021 levels, impairing the chance of a substantial directional price move. However, there’s a possibility of a bear market rally akin to the July through August 2022 uptrend. The market enters a state of limbo The FTX implosion impacted over 5 million users globally and adversely affected numerous crypto companies that were exposed to it. The industry is currently in a recovery mode and Cumberland, a U.S.-based crypto market broker, recently echoed this narrative in a tweet. The firm noted that "dozens of crypto companies are either severely curtailed or out of business, and the industry's future is as cloudy as ever." Data suggests that building a sustainable bullish move will be challenging because the market is pushed back to a low liquidit...